Hello all! I know it’s been a while, but I wanted to get my thought down before tomorrow’s Oscar nominations. I’ll be posting the full list here, and I’ll be trying to fill out my rationales tonight/tomorrow before nominations.
One thing I want to stress: if your favorite movie does not get nominated for these prizes, it does not mean your favorite film is bad. It just means it wasn’t for this group of voters. Love the stuff you love, never stop lifting up those movies that are special to you.
Best Picture
Ten Nominees
Belfast (Safe)
CODA (Safe)
Don’t Look Up (Safe)
Dune (Safe)
House of Gucci (Bubble)
King Richard (Safe)
Licorice Pizza (Safe)
No Time to Die (Bubble)
The Power of the Dog (Safe)
West Side Story (Safe)
Also in Contention
Being the Ricardos (Bubble)
The Lost Daughter (Bubble)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bubble)
Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
Tick, Tick…Boom (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
The French Dispatch (Longshot)
Parallel Mothers (Longshot)
Pig (Longshot)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Longshot)
The Worst Person in the World (Longshot)
Best Director
Five Nominees
Jane Campion – The Power of the Dog
Ryusuke Hamaguchi – Drive My Car
Adam McKay – Don’t Look Up
Paul Thomas Anderson – Licorice Pizza
Dennis Villeneuve – Dune
Also in Contention
Kenneth Branaugh – Belfast (Bubble)
Steven Spielberg – West Side Story (Bubble)
Joel Coen – The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Guillermo Del Toro – Nightmare Alley (Long Shot)
Lin Manuel-Miranda – Tick, Tick…Boom (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Julia Ducournau – Titane (Longshot)
Pedro Almodovar – Parallel Mothers (Longshot)
Reinaldo Marcus Green – King Richard (Longshot)
Maggie Gyllenhaal – The Lost Daughter (Longshot)
Joachim Trier – The Worst Person in the World (Longshot)
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Five Nominees
Penelope Cruz – Parallel Mothers (Bubble)
Lady Gaga – House of Gucci (Safe)
Alana Haim – Licorice Pizza (Bubble)
Jennifer Hudson – Respect (Bubble)
Nicole Kidman – Being the Ricardos (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Jessica Chastain – The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Bubble)
Olivia Colman – The Lost Daughter (Bubble)
Renate Reinsve – The Worst Person in the World (Bubble)
Kristen Stewart – Spencer (Bubble)
Rachel Zegler – West Side Story (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Jodie Comer – The Last Duel (Long Shot)
Emilia Jones – CODA (Bubble)
Jennifer Lawrence – Don’t Look Up (Long Shot)
Frances McDormand – The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Tessa Thompson – Passing (Long Shot)
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Five Nominees
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Power of the Dog (Safe)
Leonardo DiCaprio – Don’t Look Up (Bubble)
Andrew Garfield – Tick, Tick…Boom (Safe)
Will Smith – King Richard (Safe)
Denzel Washington – The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Javier Bardem – Being the Ricardos (Bubble)
Nicholas Cage – Pig (Long Shot)
Peter Dinklage – Cyrano (Bubble)
Adam Driver – House of Gucci (Long Shot)
Cooper Hoffman – Licorice Pizza (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Mahershala Ali – Swan Song (Long Shot)
Clifton Collins Jr. – Jockey (Long Shot)
Hidetoshi Nishijima – Drive My Car (Long Shot)
Joaquin Phoenix – C’Mon C’Mon (Long Shot)
Simon Rex – Red Rocket (Long Shot)
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Five Nominees
Caitriona Balfe – Belfast (Safe)
Arianna DeBose – West Side Story (Safe)
Kristen Dunst – The Power of the Dog (Safe)
Aunjanue Ellis – King Richard (Bubble)
Ruth Negga – Passing (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Cate Blanchette – Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
Ann Dowd – Mass (Bubble)
Marlee Matlin – CODA (Bubble)
Rita Moreno – West Side Story (Long Shot)
Meryl Streep – Don’t Look up (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Jesse Buckley – The Lost Daughter (Long Shot)
Rebecca Ferguson – Dune (long Shot)
Kathryn Hunter – The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Salma Hayek – House of Gucci (Long Shot)
Martha Plimpton – Mass (Long Shot)
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Five Nominees
Bradley Cooper – Licorice Pizza (Bubble)
Ciaran Hinds – Belfast (Safe)
Troy Kotsur – CODA (Safe)
Jared Leto – House of Gucci (Bubble)
Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Power of the Dog (Safe)
Also in Contention
Ben Affleck – The Tender Bar (Bubble)
Jaime Dornan – Belfast (Bubble)
Mike Faist – West Side Story (Bubble)
Jesse Plemons – The Power of the Dog (Bubble)
J.K. Simmons – Being the Ricardos (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Jon Bernthal – King Richard (Long Shot)
Robin de Jesus – Tick, Tick… Boom! (Long Shot)
Andrew Garfield – The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Long Shot)
Jonathan Isaacs – Mass (Long Shot)
Al Pacino – House of Gucci (Long Shot)
Best Original Screenplay
Five Nominees
Belfast (Safe)
Don’t Look Up (Safe)
The French Dispatch (Bubble)
Licorice Pizza (Safe)
Pig (Long Shot)
Also in Contention
Being the Ricardos (Bubble)
King Richard (Bubble)
Mass (Long Shot)
Parallel Mothers (Long Shot)
The Worst Person in the World (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
C’Mon C’Mon (Long Shot)
A Hero (Long Shot)
The Hand of God (Long Shot)
Red Rocket (Long Shot)
Spencer (Long Shot)
Best Adapted Screenplay
Five Nominees
CODA (Safe)
Drive My Car (Bubble)
Dune (Bubble)
The Lost Daughter (Bubble)
The Power of the Dog (Safe)
Also in Contention
Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
Passing (Long Shot)
Tick, Tick…Boom! (Bubble)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bubble)
West Side Story (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Cyrano (Long Shot)
The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Long Shot)
The Last Duel (Long Shot)
House of Gucci (Long Shot)
No Time to Die (Long Shot)
Best Animated Feature
Five Nominees
Belle (Bubble)
Encanto (Safe)
Flee (Bubble)
Mitchells vs the Machines (Bubble)
Luca (Safe)
Also in Contention
The Boss Baby 2 (Long Shot)
My Sunny Maad (Long Shot)
Raya and the Last Dragon (Bubble)
Sing 2 (Bubble)
The Summit of the Gods (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Cryptozoo (Long Shot)
Poupelle of Chimney Town (Long Shot)
Pompo the Cinephile (Long Shot)
Spirit Untamed (Long Shot)
Vivo (Long Shot)
Best International Feature
Five Nominees
Drive My Car (Safe)
Flee (Bubble)
A Hero (Bubble)
The Hand of God (Bubble)
The Worst Person in the World (Safe)
Also in Contention
Compartment No. 6 (Bubble)
Hive (Long Shot)
I’m Your Man (Bubble)
Lunana: A Yak in the Classroom (Bubble)
Prayers for the Stolen (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
The Good Boss (Long Shot)
Great Freedom (Long Shot)
Lamb (Long Shot)
Playground (Long Shot)
Plaza Catedral (Long Shot)
Best Documentary Feature
Five Nominees
Ascension (Bubble)
Attica (Bubble)
Flee (Bubble)
Procession (Bubble)
Summer of Soul (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Fayi Dayi (Bubble)
In the Same Breath (Bubble)
The Rescue (Bubble)
President (Bubble)
The Velvet Underground (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Billie Eilish: The World’s A Little Blurry (Long Shot)
The First Wave (Long Shot)
Julia (Long Shot)
Simple as Water (Long Shot)
Writing with Fire (Bubble)
Best Editing
Five Nominees
Belfast (Bubble)
Don’t Look Up (Bubble)
Dune (Safe)
Licorice Pizza (Bubble)
No Time to Die (Safe)
Also in Contention
King Richard (Bubble)
Nightmare Alley (Long Shot)
The Power of the Dog (Bubble)
Tick, Tick…Boom! (Long Shot)
West Side Story (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
The French Dispatch (Long Shot)
Last Night in Soho (Long Shot)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Long Shot)
Summer of Soul (Long Shot)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Best Cinematography
Five Nominees
Dune (Safe)
The French Dispatch (Bubble)
The Power of the Dog (Safe)
Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Belfast (Bubble)
Passing (Long Shot)
No Time to Die (Bubble)
Spencer (Long Shot)
West Side Story (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
C’Mon C’Mon (Long Shot)
Cyrano (Long Shot)
The Green Knight (Long Shot)
Last Night in Soho (Long Shot)
Licorice Pizza (Long Shot)
Best Costume Design
Five Nominees
Coming 2 America (Long Shot)
Cruella (Safe)
Dune (Safe)
House of Gucci (Bubble)
West Side Story (Safe)
Also in Contention
Cyrano (Bubble)
The French Dispatch (Bubble)
Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
The Power of the Dog (Bubble)
Spencer (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Being the Ricardos (Long Shot)
The Green Knight (Long Shot)
Last Night in Soho (Long Shot)
Licorice Pizza (Long Shot)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Best Production Design
Five Nominees
Dune (Safe)
The French Dispatch (Safe)
Nightmare Alley (Safe)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Safe)
West Side Story (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Belfast (Bubble)
Cruella (Long Shot)
Cyrano (Bubble)
House of Gucci (Long Shot)
Spencer (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Being the Ricardos (Long Shot)
The Green Knight (Long Shot)
The Last Duel (Long Shot)
Last Night in Soho (Long Shot)
Licorice Pizza (Long Shot)
Best Makeup & Hairstyling
Five Nominees
The Eyes of Tammy Faye (Safe)
Dune (Safe)
Coming 2 America (Bubble)
Cruella (Safe)
House of Gucci (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Cyrano (Bubble)
Nightmare Alley (Bubble)
No Time to Die (Bubble)
The Suicide Squad (Long Shot)
West Side Story (Bubble)
Best Visual Effects
Five Nominees
Dune (Safe)
Godzilla vs Kong (Bubble)
The Matrix Resurrections (Safe)
No Time to Die (Bubble)
Shang Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Black Widow (Long Shot)
Eternals (Long Shot)
Free Guy (Bubble)
Ghostbusters (Bubble)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Bubble)
Best Sound
Five Nominees
Belfast (Bubble)
Dune (Safe)
No Time to Die (Safe)
A Quiet Place Part II (Bubble)
West Side Story (Safe)
Also in Contention
Last Night in Soho (Bubble)
The Matrix Resurrections (Long Shot)
The Power of the Dog (Bubble)
Spider-Man: No Way Home (Bubble)
Tick, Tick…boom! (Bubble)
Best Score
Five Nominees
Don’t Look Up (Bubble)
Dune (Safe)
The French Dispatch (Bubble)
The Power of the Dog (Safe)
No Time to Die (Bubble)
Also in Contention
Encanto (Bubble)
The Harder They Fall (Long Shot)
King Richard (Long Shot)
Parallel Mothers (Bubble)
Spencer (Long Shot)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Being the Ricardos (Long Shot)
Candyman (Long Shot)
The Green Knight (long Shot)
The Last Duel (Long Shot)
The Tragedy of Macbeth (Long Shot)
Best Original Song
Five Nominees
Dos Orugitas – Encanto (Safe)
Don’t Look Up – Don’t Look Up (Bubble)
Be Alive – King Richard (Safe)
No Time to Die – No Time to Die (Safe)
Here I Am – Respect (Bubble)
Also in Contention
So May We Start – Annette (Long Shot)
Beyond the Shore – CODA (Bubble)
Down to Joy – Belfast (Bubble)
Guns Go Bang – The Harder They Fall (Bubble)
Somehow You Do – Four Good Days (Bubble)
Potential Surprises to Watch For
Right Where I Belonged – Brian Wilson: Long Promised Road (Long Shot)
Automatic Woman – Bruised (Long Shot)
Dream Girl – Cinderella (Long Shot)
The Anonymous Ones – Dear Heaven Hansen (Long Shot)
Your Song Saved My Life – Sing 2 (Long Shot)
